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3 Pivotal Tendencies in Theological Schooling: The 2026 ATS Report

newjyizh by newjyizh
March 11, 2026
Reading Time: 8 mins read
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3 Pivotal Tendencies in Theological Schooling: The 2026 ATS Report


As dean of Talbot Faculty of Theology, I look ahead yearly to the annual report from the Affiliation of Theological Faculties (ATS). This report shares a variety of knowledge about seminaries and theological faculties in North America.

In the present day, the latest information was formally revealed, and it reveals some encouraging issues about theological training basically and Talbot Faculty of Theology specifically. Different issues are much less encouraging. There are just a few distinguished tendencies. These matter not only for lecturers, however for all church leaders (and Christians), as a result of they’ll have an effect on ministries and church buildings for years to return.

Let’s take a look at three tendencies happening particularly amongst US faculties.

Desk of contents

1. The good consolidation
2. The part-time pivot
3. The regional shift
The way forward for theological training

1. The good consolidation

Let’s begin by observing the ten largest establishments by headcount and Full Time Equivalency (FTE).

A chart of the top ten largest seminaries by FTE.A chart of the top ten largest seminaries by FTE.
A table of the top ten largest seminaries by FTE.A table of the top ten largest seminaries by FTE.

The panorama is dominated by a handful of faculties, and a few of them are getting greater 12 months after 12 months. It’s onerous to overstate simply how a lot seminary coaching is completed by solely ten faculties. Truly, it’s onerous to overstate how a lot is completed by simply three faculties.

A chart of the top ten largest non-denominational seminaries by headcount.A chart of the top ten largest non-denominational seminaries by headcount.
A table of the top ten largest non-denominational seminaries by headcount.A table of the top ten largest non-denominational seminaries by headcount.

So, first, one of the vital defining tendencies we see on this information is a continuous shift involving the consolidation of theological training. Bigger faculties are typically thriving and consolidating (or typically rising) whereas smaller, nimbler faculties are carving out particular niches out there. In between, it’s typically a special story, as mid-sized faculties wrestle.

The thriving, consolidating faculties embody Talbot, a number of SBC faculties, Liberty, and Dallas, together with a relative newcomer in Kairos. (It’s essential to notice that Kairos is a really totally different, competency-based mannequin of theological training in comparison with the others.) At Talbot, we’re grateful for our progress and dealing to steward it properly, in addition to cheering on our sister faculties across the nation.

It’s additionally onerous to disregard the truth that the fastest-growing and largest faculties maintain historic and conservative theological convictions. Take a look at all of those faculties and you will note a transparent correlation between progress and a excessive view of the authority of Scripture, in addition to different historic patterns of religion and follow. For instance, Talbot is a conservative evangelical seminary, embedded in one of the vital comprehensively Christian universities within the nation, Biola. These numbers replicate the need of scholars for readability, not simply at Talbot however throughout the theological training panorama. Everybody within the high ten makes use of the phrase evangelical to explain themselves, and most (like Talbot) use the phrases “conservative evangelical.”

On the flip aspect, while you take a look at faculties with extra “broad” or progressive leanings, you principally see a gentle, simple reverse development. Mainline Protestants know that their seminaries—together with their denominations—are in ongoing decline. This decline isn’t essentially a shock. Mainline Protestant seminaries have been in a downward spiral for a very long time. But seeing it mirrored so clearly throughout your entire sector is a bracing reminder of the way forward for theological training.

So, giant seminaries are getting bigger, small seminaries are nimbler and higher linked to native church buildings, and middle-sized seminaries are working to seek out sustainable enterprise fashions. All three can thrive, I consider, however it should require a detailed partnership with church buildings and a dedication to a clearly articulated mission.

🔥 Be a part of Ed Stetzer for an upcoming sequence introduced by Logos on tendencies in theological training. Get entry to unique interviews with institutional leaders to discover ways to “future-proof” Christian increased ed.

2. The part-time pivot

Second, we’re seeing a constant tempo of progress between part-time enrollments and full-time enrollments, seen in whole headcount and full-time equivalency (FTE). Each headcount and FTE have grown by about 13 p.c over the previous decade, whilst some faculties have dramatically elevated their part-time headcount in comparison with FTE. Some faculties are leaning right into a “part-time pivot” and seeing the numbers to match.

You may see this because it varies by college. Some have bigger headcounts and decrease FTE, which suggests they’ve extra half time college students.

A table of the top ten largest seminaries by headcount.A table of the top ten largest seminaries by headcount.
A table of the top ten largest non-denominational seminaries by headcount.A table of the top ten largest non-denominational seminaries by headcount.

I rejoice to see the overall variety of enrollments improve, with each headcount and FTE rising. An increasing number of college students are pursuing theological training, and that’s an excellent factor! Faculties which have efficiently navigated the “part-time pivot” have thrived.

However I additionally need to preserve a concentrate on “high quality” and never simply “amount.” We love all of our college students at Talbot, and I’m additionally glad that our FTE is rising sooner than our headcount by a big margin (8.6 p.c to five.3 p.c 12 months over 12 months). This factors towards college students who aren’t simply signing up however diving deep, with heavier course masses.

3. The regional shift

Third, there’s a regional shift that we will’t ignore. For a very long time, the Northeast, the Midwest, and even California have been facilities of gravity for theological training, with legacy establishments like Gordon–Conwell, Fuller, and Trinity (TEDS) main the best way for evangelicals.

However issues have modified, as Gordon–Conwell and Fuller have declined over the previous decade, whereas the Southern Baptists (and Dallas and Asbury) have grown of their facilities of affect. The information reveals a decadal decline in FTE of 28 p.c for Gordon–Conwell and 57 p.c for Fuller, whilst these numbers have stabilized considerably lately. We additionally noticed a watershed second when TEDS offered its campus in Illinois, integrating into Trinity Western College in Canada. These are important adjustments within the panorama of evangelical theological training.

The biggest and fastest-growing faculties have consolidated into the Southern “Bible Belt” states, with only some exceptions. Kairos, as I mentioned, is sort of a special mannequin, primarily based not on a geographic location however a web based and mentorship-based method, and Midwestern is in Missouri, drawing from and considerably adjoining to the South. Southern California has 4 bigger faculties—Talbot, Gateway, Fuller, and Grasp’s—making it the regional exception to the Southern dominance of theological training.

I’m happy to report that Talbot is prospering in Southern California. We’ve turn out to be the biggest seminary within the West judging by FTE—a real bulwark for theological training, supported by almost sixty full-time college and a whole bunch of adjuncts throughout our graduate and undergraduate packages.

The way forward for theological training

I’ve typically mentioned that I’m not a prophet, or the son of a prophet, and I work for a nonprofit group. So I’m not claiming to know the long run. However I additionally see tendencies that may be silly to disregard.

As we take a look at pivots in theological training, we see a transparent consolidation round thriving faculties with orthodox readability, a motion towards part-time training, and regionalization. We have to take note of this stuff. The way forward for the church will probably be considerably influenced by the standard of its leaders. And these leaders will largely be formed in, via, and by the theological establishments we’re referred to as to steward.

For us at Talbot, we consider that we will preserve a world-class college of students whereas remaining deeply linked to the church. We’ve realized from faculties like Asbury and Dallas as they’ve performed so, launching Talbot Embedded throughout the nation.

Different faculties will take totally different approaches, however all faculties should navigate change as they search to boost up a brand new technology of pastors, leaders, and missionaries.

Sources for additional examine

Associated content material

How Are Students and Faculty Engaging the Bible in the Age of AI? Find out in the 2025 Bible Engagement Report. Download free.How Are Students and Faculty Engaging the Bible in the Age of AI? Find out in the 2025 Bible Engagement Report. Download free.

Buy JNews
ADVERTISEMENT


As dean of Talbot Faculty of Theology, I look ahead yearly to the annual report from the Affiliation of Theological Faculties (ATS). This report shares a variety of knowledge about seminaries and theological faculties in North America.

In the present day, the latest information was formally revealed, and it reveals some encouraging issues about theological training basically and Talbot Faculty of Theology specifically. Different issues are much less encouraging. There are just a few distinguished tendencies. These matter not only for lecturers, however for all church leaders (and Christians), as a result of they’ll have an effect on ministries and church buildings for years to return.

Let’s take a look at three tendencies happening particularly amongst US faculties.

Desk of contents

1. The good consolidation
2. The part-time pivot
3. The regional shift
The way forward for theological training

1. The good consolidation

Let’s begin by observing the ten largest establishments by headcount and Full Time Equivalency (FTE).

A chart of the top ten largest seminaries by FTE.A chart of the top ten largest seminaries by FTE.
A table of the top ten largest seminaries by FTE.A table of the top ten largest seminaries by FTE.

The panorama is dominated by a handful of faculties, and a few of them are getting greater 12 months after 12 months. It’s onerous to overstate simply how a lot seminary coaching is completed by solely ten faculties. Truly, it’s onerous to overstate how a lot is completed by simply three faculties.

A chart of the top ten largest non-denominational seminaries by headcount.A chart of the top ten largest non-denominational seminaries by headcount.
A table of the top ten largest non-denominational seminaries by headcount.A table of the top ten largest non-denominational seminaries by headcount.

So, first, one of the vital defining tendencies we see on this information is a continuous shift involving the consolidation of theological training. Bigger faculties are typically thriving and consolidating (or typically rising) whereas smaller, nimbler faculties are carving out particular niches out there. In between, it’s typically a special story, as mid-sized faculties wrestle.

The thriving, consolidating faculties embody Talbot, a number of SBC faculties, Liberty, and Dallas, together with a relative newcomer in Kairos. (It’s essential to notice that Kairos is a really totally different, competency-based mannequin of theological training in comparison with the others.) At Talbot, we’re grateful for our progress and dealing to steward it properly, in addition to cheering on our sister faculties across the nation.

It’s additionally onerous to disregard the truth that the fastest-growing and largest faculties maintain historic and conservative theological convictions. Take a look at all of those faculties and you will note a transparent correlation between progress and a excessive view of the authority of Scripture, in addition to different historic patterns of religion and follow. For instance, Talbot is a conservative evangelical seminary, embedded in one of the vital comprehensively Christian universities within the nation, Biola. These numbers replicate the need of scholars for readability, not simply at Talbot however throughout the theological training panorama. Everybody within the high ten makes use of the phrase evangelical to explain themselves, and most (like Talbot) use the phrases “conservative evangelical.”

On the flip aspect, while you take a look at faculties with extra “broad” or progressive leanings, you principally see a gentle, simple reverse development. Mainline Protestants know that their seminaries—together with their denominations—are in ongoing decline. This decline isn’t essentially a shock. Mainline Protestant seminaries have been in a downward spiral for a very long time. But seeing it mirrored so clearly throughout your entire sector is a bracing reminder of the way forward for theological training.

So, giant seminaries are getting bigger, small seminaries are nimbler and higher linked to native church buildings, and middle-sized seminaries are working to seek out sustainable enterprise fashions. All three can thrive, I consider, however it should require a detailed partnership with church buildings and a dedication to a clearly articulated mission.

🔥 Be a part of Ed Stetzer for an upcoming sequence introduced by Logos on tendencies in theological training. Get entry to unique interviews with institutional leaders to discover ways to “future-proof” Christian increased ed.

2. The part-time pivot

Second, we’re seeing a constant tempo of progress between part-time enrollments and full-time enrollments, seen in whole headcount and full-time equivalency (FTE). Each headcount and FTE have grown by about 13 p.c over the previous decade, whilst some faculties have dramatically elevated their part-time headcount in comparison with FTE. Some faculties are leaning right into a “part-time pivot” and seeing the numbers to match.

You may see this because it varies by college. Some have bigger headcounts and decrease FTE, which suggests they’ve extra half time college students.

A table of the top ten largest seminaries by headcount.A table of the top ten largest seminaries by headcount.
A table of the top ten largest non-denominational seminaries by headcount.A table of the top ten largest non-denominational seminaries by headcount.

I rejoice to see the overall variety of enrollments improve, with each headcount and FTE rising. An increasing number of college students are pursuing theological training, and that’s an excellent factor! Faculties which have efficiently navigated the “part-time pivot” have thrived.

However I additionally need to preserve a concentrate on “high quality” and never simply “amount.” We love all of our college students at Talbot, and I’m additionally glad that our FTE is rising sooner than our headcount by a big margin (8.6 p.c to five.3 p.c 12 months over 12 months). This factors towards college students who aren’t simply signing up however diving deep, with heavier course masses.

3. The regional shift

Third, there’s a regional shift that we will’t ignore. For a very long time, the Northeast, the Midwest, and even California have been facilities of gravity for theological training, with legacy establishments like Gordon–Conwell, Fuller, and Trinity (TEDS) main the best way for evangelicals.

However issues have modified, as Gordon–Conwell and Fuller have declined over the previous decade, whereas the Southern Baptists (and Dallas and Asbury) have grown of their facilities of affect. The information reveals a decadal decline in FTE of 28 p.c for Gordon–Conwell and 57 p.c for Fuller, whilst these numbers have stabilized considerably lately. We additionally noticed a watershed second when TEDS offered its campus in Illinois, integrating into Trinity Western College in Canada. These are important adjustments within the panorama of evangelical theological training.

The biggest and fastest-growing faculties have consolidated into the Southern “Bible Belt” states, with only some exceptions. Kairos, as I mentioned, is sort of a special mannequin, primarily based not on a geographic location however a web based and mentorship-based method, and Midwestern is in Missouri, drawing from and considerably adjoining to the South. Southern California has 4 bigger faculties—Talbot, Gateway, Fuller, and Grasp’s—making it the regional exception to the Southern dominance of theological training.

I’m happy to report that Talbot is prospering in Southern California. We’ve turn out to be the biggest seminary within the West judging by FTE—a real bulwark for theological training, supported by almost sixty full-time college and a whole bunch of adjuncts throughout our graduate and undergraduate packages.

The way forward for theological training

I’ve typically mentioned that I’m not a prophet, or the son of a prophet, and I work for a nonprofit group. So I’m not claiming to know the long run. However I additionally see tendencies that may be silly to disregard.

As we take a look at pivots in theological training, we see a transparent consolidation round thriving faculties with orthodox readability, a motion towards part-time training, and regionalization. We have to take note of this stuff. The way forward for the church will probably be considerably influenced by the standard of its leaders. And these leaders will largely be formed in, via, and by the theological establishments we’re referred to as to steward.

For us at Talbot, we consider that we will preserve a world-class college of students whereas remaining deeply linked to the church. We’ve realized from faculties like Asbury and Dallas as they’ve performed so, launching Talbot Embedded throughout the nation.

Different faculties will take totally different approaches, however all faculties should navigate change as they search to boost up a brand new technology of pastors, leaders, and missionaries.

Sources for additional examine

Associated content material

How Are Students and Faculty Engaging the Bible in the Age of AI? Find out in the 2025 Bible Engagement Report. Download free.How Are Students and Faculty Engaging the Bible in the Age of AI? Find out in the 2025 Bible Engagement Report. Download free.

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As dean of Talbot Faculty of Theology, I look ahead yearly to the annual report from the Affiliation of Theological Faculties (ATS). This report shares a variety of knowledge about seminaries and theological faculties in North America.

In the present day, the latest information was formally revealed, and it reveals some encouraging issues about theological training basically and Talbot Faculty of Theology specifically. Different issues are much less encouraging. There are just a few distinguished tendencies. These matter not only for lecturers, however for all church leaders (and Christians), as a result of they’ll have an effect on ministries and church buildings for years to return.

Let’s take a look at three tendencies happening particularly amongst US faculties.

Desk of contents

1. The good consolidation
2. The part-time pivot
3. The regional shift
The way forward for theological training

1. The good consolidation

Let’s begin by observing the ten largest establishments by headcount and Full Time Equivalency (FTE).

A chart of the top ten largest seminaries by FTE.A chart of the top ten largest seminaries by FTE.
A table of the top ten largest seminaries by FTE.A table of the top ten largest seminaries by FTE.

The panorama is dominated by a handful of faculties, and a few of them are getting greater 12 months after 12 months. It’s onerous to overstate simply how a lot seminary coaching is completed by solely ten faculties. Truly, it’s onerous to overstate how a lot is completed by simply three faculties.

A chart of the top ten largest non-denominational seminaries by headcount.A chart of the top ten largest non-denominational seminaries by headcount.
A table of the top ten largest non-denominational seminaries by headcount.A table of the top ten largest non-denominational seminaries by headcount.

So, first, one of the vital defining tendencies we see on this information is a continuous shift involving the consolidation of theological training. Bigger faculties are typically thriving and consolidating (or typically rising) whereas smaller, nimbler faculties are carving out particular niches out there. In between, it’s typically a special story, as mid-sized faculties wrestle.

The thriving, consolidating faculties embody Talbot, a number of SBC faculties, Liberty, and Dallas, together with a relative newcomer in Kairos. (It’s essential to notice that Kairos is a really totally different, competency-based mannequin of theological training in comparison with the others.) At Talbot, we’re grateful for our progress and dealing to steward it properly, in addition to cheering on our sister faculties across the nation.

It’s additionally onerous to disregard the truth that the fastest-growing and largest faculties maintain historic and conservative theological convictions. Take a look at all of those faculties and you will note a transparent correlation between progress and a excessive view of the authority of Scripture, in addition to different historic patterns of religion and follow. For instance, Talbot is a conservative evangelical seminary, embedded in one of the vital comprehensively Christian universities within the nation, Biola. These numbers replicate the need of scholars for readability, not simply at Talbot however throughout the theological training panorama. Everybody within the high ten makes use of the phrase evangelical to explain themselves, and most (like Talbot) use the phrases “conservative evangelical.”

On the flip aspect, while you take a look at faculties with extra “broad” or progressive leanings, you principally see a gentle, simple reverse development. Mainline Protestants know that their seminaries—together with their denominations—are in ongoing decline. This decline isn’t essentially a shock. Mainline Protestant seminaries have been in a downward spiral for a very long time. But seeing it mirrored so clearly throughout your entire sector is a bracing reminder of the way forward for theological training.

So, giant seminaries are getting bigger, small seminaries are nimbler and higher linked to native church buildings, and middle-sized seminaries are working to seek out sustainable enterprise fashions. All three can thrive, I consider, however it should require a detailed partnership with church buildings and a dedication to a clearly articulated mission.

🔥 Be a part of Ed Stetzer for an upcoming sequence introduced by Logos on tendencies in theological training. Get entry to unique interviews with institutional leaders to discover ways to “future-proof” Christian increased ed.

2. The part-time pivot

Second, we’re seeing a constant tempo of progress between part-time enrollments and full-time enrollments, seen in whole headcount and full-time equivalency (FTE). Each headcount and FTE have grown by about 13 p.c over the previous decade, whilst some faculties have dramatically elevated their part-time headcount in comparison with FTE. Some faculties are leaning right into a “part-time pivot” and seeing the numbers to match.

You may see this because it varies by college. Some have bigger headcounts and decrease FTE, which suggests they’ve extra half time college students.

A table of the top ten largest seminaries by headcount.A table of the top ten largest seminaries by headcount.
A table of the top ten largest non-denominational seminaries by headcount.A table of the top ten largest non-denominational seminaries by headcount.

I rejoice to see the overall variety of enrollments improve, with each headcount and FTE rising. An increasing number of college students are pursuing theological training, and that’s an excellent factor! Faculties which have efficiently navigated the “part-time pivot” have thrived.

However I additionally need to preserve a concentrate on “high quality” and never simply “amount.” We love all of our college students at Talbot, and I’m additionally glad that our FTE is rising sooner than our headcount by a big margin (8.6 p.c to five.3 p.c 12 months over 12 months). This factors towards college students who aren’t simply signing up however diving deep, with heavier course masses.

3. The regional shift

Third, there’s a regional shift that we will’t ignore. For a very long time, the Northeast, the Midwest, and even California have been facilities of gravity for theological training, with legacy establishments like Gordon–Conwell, Fuller, and Trinity (TEDS) main the best way for evangelicals.

However issues have modified, as Gordon–Conwell and Fuller have declined over the previous decade, whereas the Southern Baptists (and Dallas and Asbury) have grown of their facilities of affect. The information reveals a decadal decline in FTE of 28 p.c for Gordon–Conwell and 57 p.c for Fuller, whilst these numbers have stabilized considerably lately. We additionally noticed a watershed second when TEDS offered its campus in Illinois, integrating into Trinity Western College in Canada. These are important adjustments within the panorama of evangelical theological training.

The biggest and fastest-growing faculties have consolidated into the Southern “Bible Belt” states, with only some exceptions. Kairos, as I mentioned, is sort of a special mannequin, primarily based not on a geographic location however a web based and mentorship-based method, and Midwestern is in Missouri, drawing from and considerably adjoining to the South. Southern California has 4 bigger faculties—Talbot, Gateway, Fuller, and Grasp’s—making it the regional exception to the Southern dominance of theological training.

I’m happy to report that Talbot is prospering in Southern California. We’ve turn out to be the biggest seminary within the West judging by FTE—a real bulwark for theological training, supported by almost sixty full-time college and a whole bunch of adjuncts throughout our graduate and undergraduate packages.

The way forward for theological training

I’ve typically mentioned that I’m not a prophet, or the son of a prophet, and I work for a nonprofit group. So I’m not claiming to know the long run. However I additionally see tendencies that may be silly to disregard.

As we take a look at pivots in theological training, we see a transparent consolidation round thriving faculties with orthodox readability, a motion towards part-time training, and regionalization. We have to take note of this stuff. The way forward for the church will probably be considerably influenced by the standard of its leaders. And these leaders will largely be formed in, via, and by the theological establishments we’re referred to as to steward.

For us at Talbot, we consider that we will preserve a world-class college of students whereas remaining deeply linked to the church. We’ve realized from faculties like Asbury and Dallas as they’ve performed so, launching Talbot Embedded throughout the nation.

Different faculties will take totally different approaches, however all faculties should navigate change as they search to boost up a brand new technology of pastors, leaders, and missionaries.

Sources for additional examine

Associated content material

How Are Students and Faculty Engaging the Bible in the Age of AI? Find out in the 2025 Bible Engagement Report. Download free.How Are Students and Faculty Engaging the Bible in the Age of AI? Find out in the 2025 Bible Engagement Report. Download free.

Buy JNews
ADVERTISEMENT


As dean of Talbot Faculty of Theology, I look ahead yearly to the annual report from the Affiliation of Theological Faculties (ATS). This report shares a variety of knowledge about seminaries and theological faculties in North America.

In the present day, the latest information was formally revealed, and it reveals some encouraging issues about theological training basically and Talbot Faculty of Theology specifically. Different issues are much less encouraging. There are just a few distinguished tendencies. These matter not only for lecturers, however for all church leaders (and Christians), as a result of they’ll have an effect on ministries and church buildings for years to return.

Let’s take a look at three tendencies happening particularly amongst US faculties.

Desk of contents

1. The good consolidation
2. The part-time pivot
3. The regional shift
The way forward for theological training

1. The good consolidation

Let’s begin by observing the ten largest establishments by headcount and Full Time Equivalency (FTE).

A chart of the top ten largest seminaries by FTE.A chart of the top ten largest seminaries by FTE.
A table of the top ten largest seminaries by FTE.A table of the top ten largest seminaries by FTE.

The panorama is dominated by a handful of faculties, and a few of them are getting greater 12 months after 12 months. It’s onerous to overstate simply how a lot seminary coaching is completed by solely ten faculties. Truly, it’s onerous to overstate how a lot is completed by simply three faculties.

A chart of the top ten largest non-denominational seminaries by headcount.A chart of the top ten largest non-denominational seminaries by headcount.
A table of the top ten largest non-denominational seminaries by headcount.A table of the top ten largest non-denominational seminaries by headcount.

So, first, one of the vital defining tendencies we see on this information is a continuous shift involving the consolidation of theological training. Bigger faculties are typically thriving and consolidating (or typically rising) whereas smaller, nimbler faculties are carving out particular niches out there. In between, it’s typically a special story, as mid-sized faculties wrestle.

The thriving, consolidating faculties embody Talbot, a number of SBC faculties, Liberty, and Dallas, together with a relative newcomer in Kairos. (It’s essential to notice that Kairos is a really totally different, competency-based mannequin of theological training in comparison with the others.) At Talbot, we’re grateful for our progress and dealing to steward it properly, in addition to cheering on our sister faculties across the nation.

It’s additionally onerous to disregard the truth that the fastest-growing and largest faculties maintain historic and conservative theological convictions. Take a look at all of those faculties and you will note a transparent correlation between progress and a excessive view of the authority of Scripture, in addition to different historic patterns of religion and follow. For instance, Talbot is a conservative evangelical seminary, embedded in one of the vital comprehensively Christian universities within the nation, Biola. These numbers replicate the need of scholars for readability, not simply at Talbot however throughout the theological training panorama. Everybody within the high ten makes use of the phrase evangelical to explain themselves, and most (like Talbot) use the phrases “conservative evangelical.”

On the flip aspect, while you take a look at faculties with extra “broad” or progressive leanings, you principally see a gentle, simple reverse development. Mainline Protestants know that their seminaries—together with their denominations—are in ongoing decline. This decline isn’t essentially a shock. Mainline Protestant seminaries have been in a downward spiral for a very long time. But seeing it mirrored so clearly throughout your entire sector is a bracing reminder of the way forward for theological training.

So, giant seminaries are getting bigger, small seminaries are nimbler and higher linked to native church buildings, and middle-sized seminaries are working to seek out sustainable enterprise fashions. All three can thrive, I consider, however it should require a detailed partnership with church buildings and a dedication to a clearly articulated mission.

🔥 Be a part of Ed Stetzer for an upcoming sequence introduced by Logos on tendencies in theological training. Get entry to unique interviews with institutional leaders to discover ways to “future-proof” Christian increased ed.

2. The part-time pivot

Second, we’re seeing a constant tempo of progress between part-time enrollments and full-time enrollments, seen in whole headcount and full-time equivalency (FTE). Each headcount and FTE have grown by about 13 p.c over the previous decade, whilst some faculties have dramatically elevated their part-time headcount in comparison with FTE. Some faculties are leaning right into a “part-time pivot” and seeing the numbers to match.

You may see this because it varies by college. Some have bigger headcounts and decrease FTE, which suggests they’ve extra half time college students.

A table of the top ten largest seminaries by headcount.A table of the top ten largest seminaries by headcount.
A table of the top ten largest non-denominational seminaries by headcount.A table of the top ten largest non-denominational seminaries by headcount.

I rejoice to see the overall variety of enrollments improve, with each headcount and FTE rising. An increasing number of college students are pursuing theological training, and that’s an excellent factor! Faculties which have efficiently navigated the “part-time pivot” have thrived.

However I additionally need to preserve a concentrate on “high quality” and never simply “amount.” We love all of our college students at Talbot, and I’m additionally glad that our FTE is rising sooner than our headcount by a big margin (8.6 p.c to five.3 p.c 12 months over 12 months). This factors towards college students who aren’t simply signing up however diving deep, with heavier course masses.

3. The regional shift

Third, there’s a regional shift that we will’t ignore. For a very long time, the Northeast, the Midwest, and even California have been facilities of gravity for theological training, with legacy establishments like Gordon–Conwell, Fuller, and Trinity (TEDS) main the best way for evangelicals.

However issues have modified, as Gordon–Conwell and Fuller have declined over the previous decade, whereas the Southern Baptists (and Dallas and Asbury) have grown of their facilities of affect. The information reveals a decadal decline in FTE of 28 p.c for Gordon–Conwell and 57 p.c for Fuller, whilst these numbers have stabilized considerably lately. We additionally noticed a watershed second when TEDS offered its campus in Illinois, integrating into Trinity Western College in Canada. These are important adjustments within the panorama of evangelical theological training.

The biggest and fastest-growing faculties have consolidated into the Southern “Bible Belt” states, with only some exceptions. Kairos, as I mentioned, is sort of a special mannequin, primarily based not on a geographic location however a web based and mentorship-based method, and Midwestern is in Missouri, drawing from and considerably adjoining to the South. Southern California has 4 bigger faculties—Talbot, Gateway, Fuller, and Grasp’s—making it the regional exception to the Southern dominance of theological training.

I’m happy to report that Talbot is prospering in Southern California. We’ve turn out to be the biggest seminary within the West judging by FTE—a real bulwark for theological training, supported by almost sixty full-time college and a whole bunch of adjuncts throughout our graduate and undergraduate packages.

The way forward for theological training

I’ve typically mentioned that I’m not a prophet, or the son of a prophet, and I work for a nonprofit group. So I’m not claiming to know the long run. However I additionally see tendencies that may be silly to disregard.

As we take a look at pivots in theological training, we see a transparent consolidation round thriving faculties with orthodox readability, a motion towards part-time training, and regionalization. We have to take note of this stuff. The way forward for the church will probably be considerably influenced by the standard of its leaders. And these leaders will largely be formed in, via, and by the theological establishments we’re referred to as to steward.

For us at Talbot, we consider that we will preserve a world-class college of students whereas remaining deeply linked to the church. We’ve realized from faculties like Asbury and Dallas as they’ve performed so, launching Talbot Embedded throughout the nation.

Different faculties will take totally different approaches, however all faculties should navigate change as they search to boost up a brand new technology of pastors, leaders, and missionaries.

Sources for additional examine

Associated content material

How Are Students and Faculty Engaging the Bible in the Age of AI? Find out in the 2025 Bible Engagement Report. Download free.How Are Students and Faculty Engaging the Bible in the Age of AI? Find out in the 2025 Bible Engagement Report. Download free.

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